2004 Presidential Election Results -- Spreadsheets and Charts

The 2004 Election: Analyses, Summaries, Charts, and Spreadsheets

Spreadsheets and Charts

2004 Presidential Election Results:

2004 Presidential Election Results, the Exit Polls vs. the Vote Counts

Comparison: 2000 and 2004 Presidential Election Results

Percentages of 2004 USA Population Served by Voting Machine Types

The 2004 Ohio Presidential Election: Cuyahoga County Analysis:
How Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes

Excerpts:

Seven-eights of voters in heavily-Democratic Cuyahoga County, more than one of every eight
Ohio Kerry voters, could have voted at an adjacent precinct using the wrong ballot order.

"... I focus on one Presidential election issue, cross-voting—how votes cast one way are counted as a vote for a different candidate or option. I also focus on Ohio and a particular area with one-tenth of the Ohio vote, Cuyahoga County. ... This article discusses problems with the 2004 Ohio Presidential election generally and demonstrates how the Cuyahoga County election was inherently unfair and resulted in many Kerry votes going uncounted, counted as third-party votes, or being switched to Bush votes...."

In a sample of 166,953 votes, one of every 34 Ohio voters, the Kerry-Bush margin
shifts 6.15% when the population is sorted by outcomes of wrong-precinct voting.

Continue reading: How Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes (updated April 2008)

The charts displayed below are samples from the spreadsheets.

Ohio

2004 Ohio Election Spreadsheets Page
Ohio rates its own page, with numerous spreadsheets and charts!
Here are just several of those links.

Ohio 2004 Presidential Election Canvass - Voting by Counties
Cuyahoga County All Precincts with Probability Sorting and Charts - Excel - 3.8 Mb
Cuyahoga County All Precincts with Probability Sorting - Access Database - 920 Kb

ARTICLE: How Ohio Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes

Where Kerry cross-votes count for a specific third-party candidate,
Badnarik votes increase five-fold and Peroutka votes jump over nine-fold.
Highlights of the article are now available in a PowerPoint presentation:

Florida

Only in Florida does % Kerry fail to correlate with % Democrats. Why?

In Florida, electronic voting correlations do not match other voting methods.

In Florida, the 2004 Bush increase correlates with the percentage of Democrats, moreso in
E-Touch counties than in Op-Scan counties. In Op-Scan counties, the 2004 Bush increase
negatively correlates to the percentage of registered Republicans. At the same time, Bush Increase
has no correlation with Bush votes in E-Touch counties and a strong correlation in Op-Scan counties.

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Various States 2004

In South Dakota, the percentage of non-partisan voters has a strong correlation
with the percentage of Daschle votes only in the counties with paper ballots.
The Kerry and Daschle correlations match in paper ballot counties.

New Mexico

New Mexico Election Data with a Statistical Summary and a Non-Voter Analysis.

In New Mexico, why does the Sequoia and Danther E-voting equipment
fail to count so many votes? On average, 2.62% of voters did not vote
per these machines, compared to 0.46% non-votes in the Op-Scan counties.

United Voters of New Mexico - Statistical Analysis of Voting Results

What is a Pearson correlation?

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Wisconsin 2011 Supreme Court:

wisconsin_2011_workbook.xls

milwaukee_city_scatterplots.xls

Wisconsin vote shioft 2011.

Milwaukee vote shift.

Milwaukee wards vote shifts.

Click files below to view full-scale versions.

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All the spreadsheets are Excel files.